MARITAL ECONOMICS: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION AND AGE OF FIRST MARRIAGE AMONG INDONESIAN YOUTH

Authors

  • Abdullah Azzam State Islamic University of Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta https://orcid.org/0009-0000-8832-5499
  • Luthfiyah Jasmine University of Sebelas Maret Surakarta
  • Rana Ramadhania Wati State Islamic University of Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.37306/mqsp4y26

Keywords:

Inflation, Economy, Marriage, Pressure, Youth

Abstract

Economic factors, including inflation, have long been recognized as significant determinants of marital patterns and decisions. Previous studies have shown mixed results on how economic instability and inflation affect marriage rates, with some findings indicating a deterrent effect due to increased economic uncertainty, while others show varying impacts across different regions and timeframes. However, existing literature often lacks contemporary analysis within specific geographical contexts, such as Indonesia, and does not extensively explore the compounded annual effects of inflation on marriage rates. This study addresses these gaps by examining the relationship between compounded inflation rates and the age of first marriage among Indonesian youth from 2019 to 2023. Utilizing national and subgroup data from the “Statistik Pemuda Indonesia” dataset provided by the Central Agency of Statistics (BPS), including distinctions by gender, rural vs. urban settings, and expense groups, this paper provides a nuanced analysis of how recent economic conditions influence marital decisions. The results of the Shapiro-Wilk test conducted across the dataset are mixed. Due to this inconsistency, the use of the Spearman Rank Correlation and Pearson Correlation is justified. The results reveal significant variances in how different demographic segments react to economic pressures, thereby enriching our understanding of the economic factors driving marital choices in contemporary Indonesian society. Through this analysis, the study contributes to the broader discourse on marital economics by integrating localized economic metrics with demographic behavioral patterns, offering valuable insights for policymakers and social scientists.

Downloads

Download data is not yet available.

Author Biographies

  • Abdullah Azzam, State Islamic University of Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

    Student of Dept. Sociology

  • Luthfiyah Jasmine, University of Sebelas Maret Surakarta

    Student of Dept. Education of Sociology

  • Rana Ramadhania Wati, State Islamic University of Syarif Hidayatullah Jakarta

    Student of Dept. Sociology

References

Annur, C. M. (2024, February). Angka Pernikahan Turun pada 2023, Rekor Terendah Sedekade Terakhir. Databooks.

Blackburn, S., & Bessell, S. (1997). Marriageable Age: Political Debates on Early Marriage in Twentieth-Century Indonesia. Indonesia, 63, 107. https://doi.org/10.2307/3351513

Bowmaker, S. W., & Emerson, P. M. (2015). Bricks, mortar, and wedding bells: Does the cost of housing affect the marriage rate in the US? Eastern Economic Journal, 41(3), 411–429. https://doi.org/10.1057/eej.2014.24

Dew, J. (2021). Ten Years of Marriage and Cohabitation Research in the Journal of Family and Economic Issues. Journal of Family and Economic Issues, 42(S1), 52–61. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10834-020-09723-7

Fairfax, C. N. (2014). Social Work, Marriage, and Ethnicity: Policy and Practice. Journal of Human Behavior in the Social Environment, 24(2), 83–91. https://doi.org/10.1080/10911359.2014.848669

Fatoureh Bonab, A. (2019). A review of inflation and economic growth. Journal of Management and Accounting Studies, 5(02), 1–4. https://doi.org/10.24200/jmas.vol5iss02pp1-4

Hill, M. J. (2015). Love in the Time of the Depression: The Effect of Economic Conditions on Marriage in the Great Depression. The Journal of Economic History, 75(1), 163–189. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022050715000066

International Monetary Funds. (2020). CONSUMER PRICE INDEX MANUAL. International Monetary Fund.

Jelnov, P. (2023). The marriage age U-shape. Journal of Demographic Economics, 89(2), 211–252. https://doi.org/10.1017/dem.2021.27

Narayan, C. L., Narayan, M., Shikha, D., & Shekhar, S. (2015). Indian marriage laws and mental disorders: Is it necessary to amend the legal provisions? Indian Journal of Psychiatry, 57(4), 341. https://doi.org/10.4103/0019-5545.171836

Nobles, J., & Buttenheim, A. (2008). Marriage and Socioeconomic Change in Contemporary Indonesia. In Source: Journal of Marriage and Family (Vol. 70, Issue 4).

Nunley, J. M., & Zietz, J. (2012). The Long-Run Impact of Age Demographics on the U.S. Divorce Rate. The American Economist, 57(1), 65–77. https://doi.org/10.1177/056943451205700106

Omobola, O. C. (2013). Influence of Socio-Economic Change on Marriage Norms in the Yoruba Soiety, in Southwest Nigeria. Academic Journal of Interdisciplinary Studies. https://doi.org/10.5901/ajis.2013.v2n3p139

Rammohan, A., & Johar, M. (2009). The Determinants of Married Women’s Autonomy in Indonesia. Feminist Economics, 15(4), 31–55. https://doi.org/10.1080/13545700903153989

Raymo, J. M., & Park, H. (2020). Marriage Decline in Korea: Changing Composition of the Domestic Marriage Market and Growth in International Marriage. Demography, 57(1), 171–194. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13524-019-00844-9

Schellekens, J., & Gliksberg, D. (2013). Inflation and marriage in Israel. Journal of Family History, 38(1), 78–93. https://doi.org/10.1177/0363199012469954

Treble, J. G. (1994). On the Economic of Marriage. The Economic Journal, 104(224), 693–694.

Ul-Haq, J., Mushtaq, S., Visas, H., & Hye, Q. M. A. (2023). Does economic stress matter for the rising divorce rate in China? A provincial perspective. Nurture, 17(1), 18–28. https://doi.org/10.55951/nurture.v17i1.142

Warne, R. (2017). Correlation. In Statistics for the Social Sciences (4th ed., pp. 329–352). Cambridge University Press.

Wulandari, N. S., Kurniaputri, M. R., & Muhammad, M. (2023). Exploring Monetary Policy Effectiveness in Indonesia’s Inflation: Conventional and Islamic Perspective. Equilibrium: Jurnal Ekonomi Syariah, 11(2), 473–498.

Downloads

Published

30-06-2024

Deprecated: json_decode(): Passing null to parameter #1 ($json) of type string is deprecated in /var/www/html/ejurnal/plugins/generic/citations/CitationsPlugin.php on line 68

How to Cite

MARITAL ECONOMICS: RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INFLATION AND AGE OF FIRST MARRIAGE AMONG INDONESIAN YOUTH. (2024). Jurnal Keluarga Berencana, 9(1), 38-50. https://doi.org/10.37306/mqsp4y26